Showing posts with label Cyclone Nargis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Cyclone Nargis. Show all posts

Friday, May 29, 2009

Burma’s military rulers – holed up in their remote new capital, Naypitaw – are obsessed with ideas of self-reliance

TO BE NOTED: From the FT:

"
Crises test resilience of Burma’s farmers

By Amy Kazmin in Pay Chaung Gyi, Burma

Published: May 29 2009 18:14 | Last updated: May 29 2009 18:14

For the villagers of Pay Chaung Gyi – deep in Burma’s rice-growing Irrawaddy Delta – the past year has been one of catastrophes of biblical proportions.

First, Cyclone Nargis swept away their homes, rice stocks, water pots and animals last May, leaving them with little to their names – except outstanding debts.

Within weeks, villagers managed to plant a monsoon rice crop, with seeds donated or salvaged after the storm, and fresh loans taken from local rice millers, fertiliser dealers, and other rural moneylenders. But at the November harvest, their rice yields were much lower than normal, due to late planting, soil salinity from the cyclonic tidal surge, and poor seed quality.

Then they planted summer paddy, hoping a bountiful harvest would restore their financial stability. But their fields – like many across the cyclone delta – were affected by a devastating infestation of brown plant hopper, a pest that destroyed their crops.

Burma map

All the while, interest on their outstanding loans has accumulated at about 10 per cent a month. Unable to fulfil skyrocketing obligations, villagers are now losing some of their precious few remaining assets – including livestock and land – to creditors, pushing them ever closer to the edge.

“I can’t even think about why all this is happening to us,” said 53-year-old Sein Than, who lost four of his eight acres this month. “I feel I have no help.”

That sense of isolation is not surprising. Burma’s military rulers – holed up in their remote new capital, Naypitaw – are obsessed with ideas of self-reliance, not only for themselves, but also for their 52m mostly impoverished people. While the ruling junta profits from selling Burma’s natural gas and other valuable resources to Asian neighbours, they have spent little of this cash on improving the health and welfare of their struggling people, who have been left to fend almost entirely for themselves.

Even after Cyclone Nargis struck the Irrawaddy Delta last year – killing about 140,000 people and displacing some 500,000, the generals initially refused to grant international aid agencies access to the afflicted areas, and instead publicly touted the ability of Burma’s resilient peasants to cope with hardships. An international outcry finally prised the area open.

Supporters wait on Suu Kyi verdict

Burmese democracy advocates and their international supporters are awaiting the imminent verdict in the trial of Aung San Suu Kyi, the country’s Nobel Prize-winning democracy advocate.

Ms Suu Kyi was charged this month with violating the terms of her house arrest, after a US citizen swam across Lake Inya to her home, apparently to warn her of his dreams that she would soon be assassinated.

Ms Suu Kyi, who faces up to five years in prison for his visit, testified in court that he was unwelcome, but she permitted him to stay for a while, after he pleaded that he was too fatigued to swim away immediately.

The trial has outraged Ms Suu Kyi’s supporters who say the junta itself – rather than their prisoner – should be accountable for the security breach.

Than Htun Oo, a 35-year-old with eight acres, owed about $100 (€70, £62) to moneylenders before the cyclone. Since then, his two paddy crops have been abysmal. He recently surrendered one of his three buffalo to cancel some of his debt, which had soared to about $220. Yet even then, he still owes about $70, and needs fresh loans for the next planting season now under way. “I can only hope this coming monsoon harvest is better,” he says.

Apart from the cyclone victims, millions of other small farmers are struggling to stay afloat, with mounting obligations to the private moneylenders that flourish in the absence of a strong, state-run rural credit system.

A 50 per cent fall in farm-gate rice prices last November hurt farmers badly. Many families sold their entire crop – without keeping any rice reserves to eat or plant this season. Even then, they could not clear all their debts.

As the next season’s planting starts, experts fear many distressed farmers will try to reduce production costs which could sharply reduce yields and total output.

“The natural resilience of farmers that the government has always relied on is just at the breaking point,” said one expert on Burmese agriculture. “And you can’t have economic growth with an unprofitable farm sector.”

Burma has the natural potential to be an important global rice producer, on a par with Thailand or Vietnam, but today is only a marginal participant on world markets, exporting about half a million tons of low-quality rice each year. However, the US Department of Agriculture this month forecast Burma will harvest “a near-record crop” this year, up 6 per cent from 2008-09.

Although Burma’s total rice production has risen in recent decades, the increase is due mainly to an expansion of cultivated acreage, rather than improved yield.

Given their high capital costs, Burmese farmers cannot afford to invest much in fertiliser or other yield-enhancing inputs. The government’s agricultural bank does provide some low-interest loans to farmers, but only $8 per acre for up to 10 acres. Paddy costs about $80 to $100 per acre to produce.

Even when world rice prices are high, Burmese farmers reap little benefit, as their rice is discounted on world markets, and they receive a far lower percentage of the export price than their Thai or Vietnamese counterparts. “It’s not a healthy farming sector that can absorb many shocks,” the rice expert said.

In a village north of Rangoon, Blu Say, 42, frets that he could soon lose his 10 acres. His harvest last autumn was down by 25 per cent, and with prices also depressed, he could only repay half his $200 debt. Now, he spends his days trapping rats to sell in order to buy food for his family.

He will soon take out fresh loans for the next crop, praying for a good harvest to save him. “I have to face this – there is no choice,” he says.

In the cyclone area – where the military guards manning the numerous checkpoints only sporadically stop foreigners to verify they possess the clearances required to travel in the area, Sein Than is resigned to an uphill struggle to retain his remaining four acres. “If no one comes to help, we farmers need to stand on our own feet as much as we can,” he says. “We can only think of fate. It is up to the mercy of God.”

Thursday, February 19, 2009

It is up to the Obama foreign policy team to put more backbone in the U.N. efforts.

From the Washington Post:

"Burma's Agony

By Rena Pederson
Thursday, February 19, 2009; A15

NAYPYIDAW, Burma -- This is a city constructed out of fear. Naypyidaw reportedly was created by Burma's brutal dictators on the advice of astrologers and built in part by forced labor. Worried they might be vulnerable to attack in Rangoon, a port city, they abruptly moved the government 250 miles to the north three years ago and modestly named the new capital "Abode of Kings."

It is from here that the generals ordered that monks peacefully protesting gas prices in 2007 be beaten, shot and imprisoned, and here that they hunkered down in their mansions and thwarted international efforts to help after Cyclone Nargis devastated the Irrawaddy Delta last year and ravaged the lives of millions.

Few reach this remote city: Permission is required to come by plane, and a new superhighway was built primarily for government officials. Most travel the six-plus hours from Rangoon over a bumpy two-lane road shared by plodding ox carts and bicycle riders. Much of rural Burma still functions without electricity; families get by as they have for centuries, with hand pumps for water and cooking fires. Only the tea shops in villages have TVs, which run on generators. People watch soccer and maybe the news on al-Jazeera, then walk home in the dark.

Near Naypyidaw, however, the skies come ablaze. A huge new power station makes electricity available for the generals at all hours. The rutted road turns into an eight-lane highway lined by lights. Nearby, a reproduction of Burma's most hallowed site, the Shwedagon Pagoda in Rangoon, is being constructed as the generals race to show their piety.

At first glance, the capital looks almost normal. There's a new mall sporting cheap Chinese goods, a zoo where children can feed elephants, modern high-rise apartments, a luxury resort with a golf course. But there are also guards everywhere -- in towers, on corners. And people along the side of the road seem to be watching everyone else -- intensely.

In recent weeks, reports surfaced that the junta is building a series of tunnels under the capital. Rumors swirled: Are they part of a nuclear project? Escape routes? An underground gulag?

On one level there is a plastic veneer of modern life. Local TV channels show smiling young models singing about "Kiss Me" shampoo, and billboards advertise laptops. There's even a Starbucks-style coffee house in Rangoon.

Yet on another level there is rampant poverty, disease and sex trafficking. People in famine-stricken areas pay a nickel for rats to eat. In the northern no-man's land, miners are paid with opium and pass along HIV via group needles. In the largely Christian Karen villages that the junta is systematically destroying, the women are raped and children are forced into the military as human mine detectors.

In the Mandalay area farther north, the monasteries where the monks' Saffron Revolution began in 2007 are still under heavy guard. The worship places are silent, abandoned. South in the delta area battered by Nargis, people struggle to get by -- haunted, they say, by the ghostly cries of those who were swept away. Though the government has trumpeted its help, most of the assistance has come from nongovernmental organizations, churches and monasteries.

Here in Naypyidaw, ruling general Than Shwe recently claimed he was so busy accepting the credentials of some new ambassadors that he did not have time to meet with U.N. special envoy Ibrahim Gambari about democratic reforms. Gambari left after being rebuked by Prime Minister Gen. Thein Sein, who demanded the lifting of international economic sanctions on Burma and called them a "human rights violation." U.N. Secretary General Ban Ki-moon put a diplomatic spin on events, saying Gambari had "good discussions there even though one may not be totally satisfied."

Gambari is supposed to brief the Security Council on Friday. Members should be told what the generals did as soon as he left: closed more churches in Rangoon, refused to let lawyers visit some of the country's more than 2,100 political prisoners and extended the arrest of an 82-year-old opposition leader.

Naypyidaw symbolizes the stalemate over Burma: The generals in their labyrinth have created a surreal reality and defy world opinion. The international community lets them get away with it by failing to produce an effective, moral, organized response.

It is up to the Obama foreign policy team to put more backbone in the U.N. efforts. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton's remarks yesterday about sanctions drew new attention to the issue. The Obama team has the chance to calibrate financial sanctions so they squeeze the generals and their money-laundering cronies. It can insist that verifiable benchmarks of real progress, such as the release of political prisoners, be met before development favors are done for the junta. And it can remind the world that the election scheduled for 2010 shouldn't fool anyone. It is being engineered to ensure the generals' hold on power, meaning business will continue as usual in Naypyidaw.

Rena Pederson, a former speechwriter at the State Department, is the author of the forthcoming book "The Burma Quartet."



Me:

This is a good test case to see if we can focus on human rights even in a financial crisis. I hope that we can.
2/19/2009 10:02:52 AM