Showing posts with label Shopyield. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Shopyield. Show all posts

Saturday, May 30, 2009

Or is stability achieved by simplifying the mandate of the institutions in our system?

TO BE NOTED: From Shopyield:

"
Complex regulations or simple banks

As we restructure oversight of the financial system it’s important to think about the motivations of institutions… and ask if stability can be achieved by concentrating enormous power in the hands of a “systemic regulator”?

Or is stability achieved by simplifying the mandate of the institutions in our system?

Would returning to something along the lines embodied in the Glass Steagall Act be more effective? More stable?

Someone needs to map the quantity and severity of financial crisises with and without Glass Steagall… I think we know what the evidence would look like…


This was written by cate"

Friday, May 29, 2009

if you are reading this blog I assume you are interested in market structure and regulation.

TO BE NOTED: From Shopyield:

"shopyield.com

Join us in bringing transparency to financial markets regulation

I’ve been working with an open source group recently… freerisk.org… the group has several ongoing projects but I’ve been concentrating on the development of a central repository for information related to financial markets regulation. It’s a wiki called:

Riski

We have the basic structure of the site developed now and we are adding content… it’s in the earlist stages of development. The prime purpose of Riski is to help in the upcoming legislative process as Congress remakes the framework for financial markets regulation. I visited with a number of Congressional staffers last week in Washington and there was tremendous interest in Riski… there currently is no resource available that aggregates market practice, legislative, academic and media information about financial markets regulation.

Have a look and join in… it’s easy to add content and edit… if you are reading this blog I assume you are interested in market structure and regulation. Welcome to Riski!

This was written by cate."

Sunday, May 10, 2009

enormous uncertainty in the market because no one knew who was holding what, and who had the bad loans

TO BE NOTED: From Shopyield:

"
I believe that transparency and neutrality of information actually reduce uncertainty and promote stability.

Excellent speech by John Smith, the Chairman of the International Accounting Standards Board, given May 8th at the European Commission Conference “Financial Reporting in a Changing World” …

He begins by making the case for the United States to adopt IFRS (the International Financial Reporting Standards)… this seems an easy decision for a country with a free market economy to make… if we want to attract foreign capital to our markets this is an important form of transparency which allows global investors to make relative comparisons of US and international corporations… one wonders if the Federal Reserve would have had to make such an intense intervention in the commercial paper market if the balance sheets of US issuers were more transparent… from Mr. Smith’s speech…

~~~~ ” …. I will now turn to the financial crisis and our initiatives relating to it. The real estate bubble burst in the United States. Capital deteriorated quickly as banks started reporting huge losses on mortgage loans. That created enormous uncertainty in the market because no one knew who was holding what, and who had the bad loans. So banks stopped lending to each other. They also tightened credit to all customers. Consumers stopped buying. Corporations stopped investing. The stock markets around the world declined. Pension funds lost huge amounts of value, and many jobs were lost.

We had a financial crisis around the world. And banks didn’t have enough capital.

So who and what caused this problem? The fingers started pointing in every direction.

And all of the sudden we increased our accounting vocabulary with a couple of new buzz words—procyclicality and dynamic provisioning—and that old foe, fair value accounting, resurfaced with a new life; and financial reporting and accounting standards became part of the problem

So, how much of the crisis is caused by accounting? I believe very little, if any.

The complaint - current accounting rules promote procyclicality. That part is true but I state it differently. Financial reporting provides information and people react to information. I believe that transparency and neutrality of information actually reduce uncertainty and promote stability.

To be useful to users of financial statements, financial information must be unbiased. That is the role of financial reporting.

That said, I fully recognise that the IASB has an important role to play and there are many lessons learned from the crisis. We have responded by taking an unprecedented number of steps, in a considered fashion, to the crisis. We understand we urgently need to improve many of our standards and we are taking actions to do just that. The IASB approach has been measured, rapid, and targeted at addressing the real issues raised by the crisis.

As to financial reporting, we know there continues to be uncertainty about risk and early on in the crisis we heard calls for more transparency, particularly with regard to risk and off balance sheet activities and about fair value measurement and its use. Those calls were later followed by concerns about financial stability and the calls for greater comparability— a level playing field—and reduced complexity in accounting for financial instruments….

… I would like to talk a little bit about our accelerated financial instruments project.

Our project directly addresses the G20’s call for standard-setters to take action by the year-end ‘to reduce the complexity of accounting standards for financial instruments’.

At a very high level we are all in agreement about the objectives for the project. We need to reduce complexity, increase comparability and transparency, rethink impairment rules to recognise losses more promptly and provide a basis for convergence worldwide, in other words a level playing field.

Our six-month time frame is aggressive, but achievable if we attack the issues in an orderly way and sequentially.

We will start with classification and measurement alternatives. We understand the causes of complexity:

We have 12 different measurement methods for financial instruments including three for impairment.

We have 22+ ways of getting to one of the measurement methods based on a combination of criteria including type of instrument, its activity in the marketplace, management’s intentions by designation, and management’s intentions with various qualifying criteria.

We can reduce complexity if we reduce the measurement alternatives and provide a better rationale for the alternatives that remain. Our goal would be to get to two measurements.

Clearly, some instruments will be at fair value and others will not, but we have to decide how to make the cut.

Is it the characteristics of the instrument, its activity in the marketplace or management’s intentions? Each of these alternatives can complement or conflict with each other, so we have to decide what trumps what, that is to say, what has primacy.

As part of the project, we will address the issue of transfers out of fair value. The consideration here will depend on how we draw the line to distinguish the fair value and non-fair value categories. ” ~~~~

This was written by cate"

Friday, April 24, 2009

Pecora Commission, the bipartisan commission established by the Senate more than 75 years ago to address the 1929 stock market crash.

TO BE NOTED: From Shopyield:

"
Pecora redux

It is so crucial for our nation that the Congress undertake a serious investigation of what lead up to the financial crisis… this will help inform legislation…

It is a new era with the internet and the globalization of financial markets… but the motivations of men remain the same… and often are compromised…

Time to clean house… Speaker Pelosi time to help restore America’s confidence… get behind this Commission and help bring sunlight to the darkness that is covering our economy and financial system…

This is as important or more important than the $ 700 billion of taxpayer funds that Congress allocated to prop up the banking system… time for the ghost of Ferdinand Pecora to ride again…

from The Hill.com

~~~~ “Reid, Pelosi still talking about financial commission

By Alexander Bolton

Posted: 04/23/09 02:35 PM [ET]

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) is not yet on board with the Senate’s proposal to create an independent commission to investigate the causes of the financial meltdown.

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) told reporters that Pelosi is still reviewing the Senate’s effort to create an independent commission modeled on the 9/11 Commission.

But Nadeam Elshami, Pelosi’s spokesman, said: “We are reviewing what the Senate passed and we are continuing discussions in the House. We are committed to getting it done.”
The Senate voted 92-4 on Wednesday to create a “Financial Markets Commission” to investigate the near-collapse of the banking system and housing market. The legislation would give the commission subpoena power and a $5 million budget, $2 million more than what Congress first allocated for the 9-11 Commission.

“I spent a lot of time with the Speaker the last several days and we’re working our way through this,” said Reid. “She has not come out for an independent commission.

“We’re looking at how to approach that and we’ll do this together, we’ll work this out together,” Reid added. “My conversations with her is that we will take a look at this. I told her last night that we passed these two amendments and we’ll take a look at it.

“My personal feeling is that we have to do something,” he said.

Pelosi seemed last week to endorse an independent commission to investigate the financial crisis.

She told the Commonwealth Club of California that she wanted to establish a bipartisan investigative body to probe the causes of the financial market meltdown, according to the San Francisco Chronicle. Pelosi said it should be modeled after the Pecora Commission, the bipartisan commission established by the Senate more than 75 years ago to address the 1929 stock market crash.

Pelosi said she had discussed the matter with Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and would raise it with House colleagues.”~~~~

Saturday, April 4, 2009

lend support to government measures aimed at taking troubled assets off banks’ balance sheets—such as the US Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP)

TO BE NOTED: From Shopyield:

"
The pricing of subprime mortgage risk in good times and bad: evidence from the ABX.HE indices

The pricing of subprime mortgage risk

Ingo Fender (BIS)* and Martin Scheicher (ECB)**

Abstract

This paper investigates the market pricing of subprime mortgage risk on the basis of data for the ABX.HE family of indices, which have become a key barometer of mortgage market conditions during the recent financial crisis. After an introduction into ABX index mechanics and a discussion of historical pricing patterns, we use regression analysis to establish the relationship between observed index returns and macroeconomic news as well as market-based proxies of default risk, interest rates, liquidity and risk appetite. The results imply that declining risk appetite and heightened concerns about market illiquidity—likely due in part to significant short positioning activity—have provided a sizeable contribution to the observed collapse in ABX prices since the summer of 2007. In particular, while fundamental factors, such as indicators of housing market activity, have continued to exert an important influence on the subordinated ABX indices, those backed by AA and AAA exposures have tended to react more to the general deterioration of the financial market environment. This provides further support for the inappropriateness of pricing models that do not sufficiently account for factors such as risk appetite and liquidity risk, particularly in periods of heightened market pressure. In addition, as related risk premia can be captured by unconstrained investors, ABX pricing patterns appear to lend support to government measures aimed at taking troubled assets off banks’ balance sheets—such as the US Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). ( NB DON )

Keywords: ABX index, mortgage-backed securities, pricing, risk premia.
JEL classification numbers: E43, G12, G13, G14.
*

BIS Working Papers are written by members of the Monetary and Economic Department of the Bank for International Settlements, and from time to time by other economists, and are published by the Bank. The views expressed in them are those of their authors and not necessarily the views of the BIS.

Copies of publications are available from:

Bank for International Settlements

Press & Communications

CH-4002 Basel, Switzerland

E-mail: publications@bis.org

Fax: +41 61 280 9100 and +41 61 280 8100

This publication is available on the BIS website (www.bis.org).

Friday, April 3, 2009

For occasional investors, Travis Larson recommends investinginbonds.com.

TO BE NOTED: From Shopyield:

Retail transparency

Online help for novice bond investors

A Financial Q&A with Steve Dinnen.

from the April 2, 2009 edition, Christian Science Monitor

Q : I have had trouble finding a user-friendly bond site. I seem to keep getting sites where there are runs of transactions bought and sold in the past 12 hours. But I can’t find a site where I could peruse bonds, check out maturities, yield, etc. I would really appreciate it if you can direct a novice user

M.C., Center Sandwich, N.H.

A: The bond market, vastly larger than the stock market, can indeed be a daunting place in which to navigate. There are several for-pay sites, which can be quite expensive and are aimed mainly at professional traders. Your brokerage house also should have web-based information on bonds that’s available to clients.

For occasional investors, Travis Larson recommends investinginbonds.com. This is an educational web site designed by the industry and sponsored by the organization for which he is a spokesman, the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association (formed after a merger that included the Bond Market Association).

Mr. Larson says the site is appropriate for individuals with all levels of financial education, from beginners to experienced investors. It offers bond price information and includes a wide variety of market data, news, commentary, and education about bonds.

You can dive fairly deep into information on corporate, municipal, and government bonds.
This has been ranked as a top investor site for bonds by a number of media outlets, and he says it’s “continually enhanced and updated with new data, information, and features.”

Bonds are a fast-moving target. Here’s an area where it pays to check with your financial adviser, who typically will have access to proprietary research and trading programs.

Submit your question to Steve Dinnen.

Tuesday, March 31, 2009

Note to Treasury Secretary Geithner and his team… you could encourage the TARP banks to use this platform to list mortgage securities…

TO BE NOTED: From Shopyield:

"
Trading platform transparency

There are many alternative trading systems (ATS) in the fixed income markets… they have slightly different price discovery, quotation and trade reporting structures… think of them as “liquidity pools”…

I’ve always thought the important thing for market transparency and fairness is that all investors have access to all bids and offers on an ATS (think of eBay’s structure)… this is also how exchanges work… (instead of this structure most fixed income platforms are “request for quote” (RFQ) where a buyside firm puts out a request for bids or offers from dealers… generally other investors don’t see the RFQs… so the ATS are most often dealer controlled markets… I wonder what academic studies are available on this topic?)

Broadridge, which spun off from ADP, announced a new alliance to create access to less liquid mortgage and other bonds… the platform allows equel access to all users (sellside and buyside)…

Note to Treasury Secretary Geithner and his team… you could encourage the TARP banks to use this platform to list mortgage securities… here is what the platform can handle (article follows from Wall Street and Tech):

Trade Discovery ™

• Agency Pools
• Agency CMOs
• Trust IOs / POs

~~~~ Broadridge, Beacon To Help Clients Find Fixed-Income Liquidity

Trading clients allowed to pore over daily fixed-income securities transaction records.
By Penny Crosman
March 31, 2009

Broadridge, a provider of technology-based outsourcing solutions to the financial services industry, and Beacon Capital Strategies, which operates a marketplace dedicated to providing liquidity and electronic trading in the less-liquid fixed-income market, today announced a multi-year strategic alliance. The alliance is meant to help the firms serve their clients who actively trade less-liquid fixed-income securities including agency mortgage-backed securities, asset-backed securities, and collateralized mortgage obligations.

Broadridge is a fixed-income securities processing provider that currently handles on average more than $3 trillion in notional value of U.S. fixed-income securities transactions daily. Beacon established the first trading platform tailored to he less-liquid fixed-income market, which is open to all participants on an anonymous and equal basis. This alliance will help the firms’ clients locate difficult-to-find securities in the less-liquid fixed-income segment, thereby enhancing liquidity and efficiency to the overall marketplace.

By using Broadridge’s impact and MBS Expert products and Beacon’s Trade Discovery platform, clients will be able to search through less-liquid fixed-income securities, find the other side of the trade for instruments that meet specific investment criteria, and transact on liquidity that otherwise would not be publicly advertised in current trading channels.”~~~~

Saturday, March 28, 2009

explaining why some wholesale financiers did not provide market discipline ex-ante and exacerbated liquidity risks ex-post

TO BE NOTED: From Shopyield:

“dark side” of wholesale funding

The Dark Side of Bank Wholesale Funding

Rocco Huang

Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia

Lev Ratnovski

international Monetary Fund

November 2008



Abstract

Commercial banks increasingly use short-term wholesale funds to supplement traditional retail deposits.

Existing literature mainly points to the “bright side” of wholesale funding: sophisticated financiers can monitor banks, disciplining bad ones but refinancing solvent ones.

This paper models a “dark side” of wholesale funding.

In an environment with a costless but imperfect signal on bank project quality (e.g., credit ratings, performance of peers), short-term wholesale financiers have lower incentives to conduct costly information acquisition, and instead may withdraw based on negative but noisy public signals, triggering inefficient cient liquidations.

We show that the “dark side” of wholesale funding dominates the “bright side” when bank assets are more arm’s length and tradable (leading to more relevant public signals and lower liquidation costs): precisely the attributes of a banking sector with securitizations and risk transfers.

The results shed light on the recent financial turmoil, explaining why some wholesale financiers did not provide market discipline ex-ante and exacerbated liquidity risks ex-post.

This was written by cate. Posted on Saturday, March 28, 2009, at 9:51 pm. Filed under Regulatory, Restructuring. Tagged . Bookmark the permalink. Follow comments here with the RSS feed. Post a comment or leave a trackback.

"We show how short-term wholesale …nanciers can create a "run" on banks based on
costless but possibly very noisy public signals about bank asset quality. Their incentives
to run may o¤set or even dominate the incentives to monitor which were highlighted by
Calomiris and Kahn (1991). In principle, the risk of wholesale runs can be reduced by
assigning them lower creditor seniority. However banks may have contrasting private
incentives: we show that the use of senior wholesale funds generates interest rate savings
for banks. Moreover, making short-term wholesale funds sufficiently junior may be
outright impossible due to the sequential service constraint."

"Note that the model applies also to nancial institutions that operate without retail
depositors and use wholesale funds only. Con‡icts of interest that we describe exist
whenever liquidation payo¤s are (for contractual or behavioral reasons) skewed across
di¤erent classes of creditor claimants, e.g., short-term vs. long-term wholesale funds, or
collateralized vs. unsecured wholesale funds. For example, Bear Stearns was …financed
by both long-term and short-term wholesale funds, with most of the short-term funds
collateralized by marketable assets. Our model explains why secured short-term lenders,
being e¤ectively more senior, had insu¢ cient incentives to acquire information on the
bank’s fundamentals, and were tempted to walk out upon noisy negative news. Had
short-term wholesale funds been unsecured or with longer contractual maturity (imply-
ing lower e¤ective seniority), their providers would have had higher incentives to monitor
and would have been less likely to abruptly stop funding Bear Stearns."

"In the years leading up to the current credit market turmoil, why didn’t the whole-
sale …nanciers, who had the capacity to monitor, exert su¢ cient market discipline
on banks, and why did they exacerbate liquidity risks once the crisis was on the
way?
The analyses of our model provide some new explanations."

Tuesday, March 24, 2009

Bernstein’s Bruno Paulson reckons the modest reaction in the ‘toxic’ markets could be down to uncertainties as to whether then plan will actually driv

TO BE NOTED: From Shopyield:

"
The Great Toxic Asset Giveaway?

Bloomberg video of Curtis Arledge of Blackrock talking about the Geithner plan… Blackrock can be presumed to be one of the five favored investment managers that Treasury would choose to be in the program…

From the FT Alphaville blog…

~~~~ “The structured credit markets did show some positive reaction, with AAA sub-prime up a point and AAA CMBS index up three points (about 5% in both cases), but this still leaves prices massively down YTD with sub-prime still down on prior month compares (CMBS is roughly at end February levels).

Barring a continued revival over the next week, the Q1 marks could be uncomfortable given the YTD performance. The sub-prime and CMBS indices shown in Exhibit 1 below are an average of the Markit AAA ABX (subprime) and AAA CMBX (CMBS) vintages/series respectively.

Bernstein’s Bruno Paulson reckons the modest reaction in the ‘toxic’ markets could be down to uncertainties as to whether then plan will actually drive up prices.

And his reasoning;

The two issues are whether there will be buyers and whether there will be sellers. The government leverage should help buyers’ potential returns boosting the prices offered, as should the current depressed prices versus fundamentals. However the political environment may discourage investors, given the twin threat of ‘cram-downs’ on lending balances and arbitrary expropriation of profits.

On the seller side, institutions which do not mark-to-market through capital (either because they are marking to model or because the securities are tucked away as ‘Available for Sale’) have no incentive to realise losses, particularly if they (probably reasonably) think the ultimate losses will be lower than that implied in the prices. Even those who mark stuff to market may prefer to let someone else do the selling to raise prices, thus realising the gain without losing the future upside. Paradoxically, the belief that the securities are undervalued relative to fundamentals may constrain the number of transactions….” ~~~~

This was written by cate. "

Sunday, February 8, 2009

potentially extraordinary support is a key ratings factor for the eight major banks the government has deemed to be systemically important

From Shopyield:

"
US government support now key factor in S&P bank credit ratings

By Ed Welsch
Last update: 3:56 p.m. EST Feb. 5, 2009
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — Standard & Poor’s said Thursday that U.S. government support would now be a key factor in the way it rates the creditworthiness of the nation ’s largest banks. They are the same banks that received a total of $125 billion in mandatory assistance from the first half of the Troubled Assets Relief Program.
The eight banks for whom S&P said government support is a key factor include:
State Street Corporation
Bank of America Corporation
Wells Fargo & Company
Morgan Stanley
Bank of New York Mellon Corp.
Goldman Sachs
JP Morgan
Citigroup Inc.

Although our ratings ordinarily don’t hinge on a shift in political control, we believe that the government’s potentially extraordinary support is a key ratings factor for the eight major banks the government has deemed to be systemically important,” S&P credit analyst Tanya Azarchs said.

Bank stocks have been pummeled in recent weeks as rumors abound about an Obama administration bank rescue plan. With few concrete details available from the government, stock investors are concerned over whether the plan will be successful in the long term, and what it means for their investments in the short term.

The Obama administration is reportedly considering a two-pronged plan to rescue the banking sector. A “bad bank” prong would buy the marked-down mortgage-related assets from bank balance sheets, allowing banks to clean their balance sheets and potentially attract investors. In a second part of the plan, the government would reportedly extend loss insurance to the assets that banks categorized as held-to-maturity that haven’t yet been marked down.

S&P analyst Azarchs said that while the details of the plan are still being worked out, her firm believes government support for the banks will be a net positive for their creditworthiness - which is good news for bank bondholders.

There was less good news for bank stockholders in Azarchs’ report. She said that if the U.S. economy deteriorates to a point where further loan losses erode common equity, the U.S. government “may be forced to take equity positions or, at the very least, may have to provide more capital infusions to restore confidence in the banking system.” Those actions would most likely dilute the stakes of common shareholders.

An outright nationalization of the banks would stabilize bank credit ratings in the near term, Azarchs said, but would risk stifling innovation and competitiveness in the long term.

She also expressed concern that increasing government control could start to filter into bank lending decisions, affecting who they lend to and how they restructure loans from borrowers that fall into delinquency.

Azarch said Standard & Poor’s started recognizing the federal government’s potential for extraordinary support for the banking industry in December, and that it was now a “central theme” in the firm’s credit analysis, especially for the eight banks identified as systematically important.

“At some point, we believe the U.S. will seek to wean the sector off these support mechanisms and search for ways to contain systemic risk to avert another crisis,” she wrote in the research note. “But that will be difficult to do until the financial markets have stabilized.”

Bank stocks fell Thursday morning, with Bank of America shares hitting a 25-year low before recovering around midday as part of a broader rally on Wall Street. Bank of America shares were down 3.4% recently at $4.54 after falling as low as $3.77 earlier. Citigroup shares were up 2.6% at $3.57 while JPMorgan shares were up 1.7% at $24.43.

In the credit default swaps market, the cost to insure Bank of America debt rose 11% in morning trading while the cost to insure JPMorgan debt declined slightly.


Me:

Don the libertarian Democrat wrote: Your comment is awaiting moderation.

“Although our ratings ordinarily don’t hinge on a shift in political control, we believe that the government’s potentially extraordinary support is a key ratings factor for the eight major banks the government has deemed to be systemically important,” S&P credit analyst Tanya Azarchs said.”

How much more explicit can these implicit government guarantees get before everyone realizes that they were always explicit to the banks and investor class?

Sunday, February 8, 2009 at 10:56 pm | Permalink

Friday, January 30, 2009

They do not deserve access to the decision making about the restructuring of the financial system.

From Shopyield:

Bank lobbyists out!

Bloomberg is reporting comments of President Obama’s senior advisor David Axelrod in reference to financial markets…

~~~~ “There are a variety of things that we need to do in order to win the trust and confidence of the American people,” Axelrod said. “And we’ll address these other issues down the road, but right now, we’ve got to work with what we’ve got.” ~~~~

Yes, Mr. Axelrod… it’s critical that the Administration take real steps to distance themselves from the influence of the largest banks in this country as the new government considers what options might be the most effective in mitigating the financial crisis.

The new administration must exclude these institutions from the deliberations. The management of these companies are the ones which have brought us to this place. They do not deserve access to the decision making about the restructuring of the financial system.

US banks have already received hundreds of billions of dollars of US Treasury and Federal Reserve support. Transparency and oversight of this process has been pitiful. Officials have cited “the urgent need to stabilize the financial system” as the reason for secrecy and obfuscation.

But the real question is who has access to the decision making process? And how do we know that the interests of the American taxpayers are being fully protected?

Let’s name the recipients of federal funds — from The New York Times Bailout Tracker:

Bank
New York
$50,000
U.S. cities
N.A.
$50,000
Bank
Charlotte, N.C.
$45,000
Insurer
New York
$40,000
Bank
New York
$25,000
Bank
San Francisco
$25,000
Automaker
Detroit
$14,284
Bank
New York
$10,000
Bank
New York
$10,000
Bank
Pittsburgh
$7,579
Bank
Minneapolis
$6,599
Specialty lender
New York
$5,000
Bank
Atlanta
$4,850
Automaker
Auburn Hills, Mich.
$4,000
Bank
McLean, Va.
$3,555
Bank
Birmingham, Ala.
$3,500
Bank
Cincinnati
$3,408
Insurer
Hartford, Conn.
$3,400
Specialty lender
New York
$3,389
Bank
Winston-Salem, N.C.
$3,134
Bank
New York
$3,000
Bank
Cleveland
$2,500
Specialty lender
New York
$2,330
Bank
Dallas
$2,250
Bank
Boston
$2,000
Bank
Des Moines, Iowa
$2,000
Bank
Milwaukee
$1,715
Bank
Chicago
$1,576

The Hill.com reports… ~~~~ “A group of lobbyists is — not surprisingly — lobbying against new Treasury Department rules designed to curb K Street’s ability to influence how billions of dollars in financial bailout money is distributed.

In a letter to Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, the American League of Lobbyists questioned the constitutionality of new lobbying restrictions, noting the First Amendment grants citizens the right to petition the government for redress of grievances.” ~~~~

One Comment

  1. Your comment is awaiting moderation.

    I notice that they focus on the constitutionality, and ignore decency and propriety. That’s why I say that we need to nationalize. Anything less is a victory for the banking lobby.

    Saturday, January 31, 2009 at 1:19 am | Permalink

Monday, January 26, 2009

Expect this form of disaggregation to increase… expect more non-affiliated “experts” to rise up in the blogosphere

From Shopyield, how we will obtain information going forward:

"
Twitterland

Creative destruction came to the world of information gathering and redistribution during the attacks in Mumbai, India in November.

The New York Times reported, “At the peak of the violence, more than one message per second with the word “Mumbai” in it was being posted onto Twitter, a short-message service that has evolved from an oddity to a full-fledged news platform in just two years.”

The longstanding model of American media is a one way communication pipeline with a central hub that gathers, organizes and distributes news, entertainment, sports and financial data. The central planning model of information flows.

As traditional news media channels wither (think print and evening network news) activity on new channels surges in volume and sophistication. These new channels mashup volumes of information from all participants.

It’s YouTube (GOOG), Twitter, Digg, blogs, Facebook, LinkedIn, MySpace… it’s all about the “people’s content” being gathered, organized and redistributed. I got a excellent and condensed view of the ways that social media can be integrated into business strategies at the Social Media Smarts conference organized by the Direct Marketing Association. They will be offering several more seminars in Chicago and New York on this topic in the spring.

The expanding world of social media is like the armies of Attila the Hun sweeping down to overrun the exhausted, old world media empires.

Massive clouds of the people’s content are forming and blending and who has time for traditional media?

Traditional media is joining the “social cloud” by adding social media tools … the New York Times (NYT), the Wall Street Journal (NWS), and the Financial Times have all successfully incorporated forms of social media into their web platforms. And it has enriched the user experience and increased traffic to the sites.

2009 will be an important chapter in the war between ”open” and “closed” channels of information flow.

2009 is also the year when everyone ponders how to take all this content and make new products from it.

Business models for major corporations and startups are being created and revamped in this process… social media can support marketing, customer service, product development, client acquisition, and corporate image control.

Small and large companies are creating new ways to reach their existing clients and be on the spot where communities are forming around specific interests like investing.

The Consumerist writes about Bank of America using Twitter for customer service, “Several readers have reported getting their problems solved after contacting Bank of America’s new Twitter-based rep.

One reader had tried contacting Bank of America (BAC) a dozen different times and three different ways, but one tweet to BofA_help got him in touch with executive customer service.…”

Nice… maybe Twitter will be the route to executive customer service from corporations and service providers.

Roger Ehrenberg of Information Arbitrage talks about how investment banks might approach creating and distributing equity research in an “open sourced” manner…

~~~~ “The difference between how it used to work and how it will work in the future is the disaggregation of equity research. The major securities houses will have global distribution platforms for connecting issuers and investors, and to provide markets on a worldwide basis. There will be relatively few of these players as the cost of maintaining a global distribution platform is huge and, in my opinion, a natural oligopoly. But research will be “open sourced,” as the charade sometimes called “Wall Street single-stock research” is finally exposed…” ~~~~

I’m not in agreement with Roger Ehrenberg on the “natural oligopoly” of the broker/dealers providing research and content to retail investors. Financial portals like Yahoo! Finance and MSN Money are already aggregating user generated content with “corporate content” and are where investors spend their time researching and monitoring their portfolios. They lead the markets in content and should be considered “social media” platforms.

Retail investors generally shift to broker/dealer sites when they are ready to make a trade. What could a Morgan Stanley (MS) or Schwab (SCHW) bring to the content party that other platforms aren’t providing? Broker/dealers face regulatory constraints interacting with investors that other players compensated in other ways don’t face.

Smaller market participants don’t face as many of these constraints and this helps drive disaggregation in the financial media space. Zack Miller of New Rules of Investing has developed an excellent list of the top 12 financial commenter’s or advisors who use social media … you’ll see some familiar names from Seeking Alpha…

  • Timothy Sykes: Blog, Covestor, Twitter, Facebook, YouTube, subscription products
  • Jim Cramer, TheStreet.com: Blog, video, Twitter, subscription newsletter
  • John Reese, Validea: blog, SeekingAlpha, Twitter, subscription newsletter
  • Todd Sullivan: blog, SeekingAlpha, Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube, subscription newsletter
  • Mebane Faber: blog, SeekingAlpha, subscription research site
  • David Merkel: blog, SeekingAlpha
  • Richard Shaw, QVM Group: blog, SeekingAlpha
  • Roger Nusbaum: blogging, SeekingAlpha
  • Sean Hannon, EPIC Advisors: blogging, SeekingAlpha, Covestor
  • Chris Fernandez, PeakStocks.com: blogging, Covestor, subscription newsletter
  • Trader Mark: blogging, SeekingAlpha, Twitter
  • Zachary Scheidt: blogging, SeekingAlpha, subscription newsletter
  • Expect this form of disaggregation to increase… expect more non-affiliated “experts” to rise up in the blogosphere as economic conditions favor various industries and asset classes.( WHY CAN'T THIS BE USED TO MONITOR INVESTMENTS? )

    The much beleaguered SEC is on Twitter and recently appointed a “Director of New Media”. Expect other agencies of the federal government to follow.

    FT.com reports on the efforts large companies are making to surf the social media cloud.

    “But now a growing number of companies, including Ford Motor (F), PepsiCo (PEP), Wells Fargo (WFC) and Dell (DELL), are creating new high-level jobs to ready themselves for engagement with social media, with titles such as director of social media, head of communities and conversation, vice-president of experiential marketing and digital communications manager. The role of these new executives is to monitor and influence what is being said about their companies on the internet.

    These new jobs represent a broad shift in media relations strategy at large companies. “Corporate communications has radically changed,” says Andy Sernovitz, chief executive of the Blog Council, an organisation for heads of social media at big companies. “It’s no longer just companies talking to the press, and customer service talking to customers. All these other people showed up in the -middle. They may not be press and they may not be customers, but suddenly their collective voice is bigger than the traditional channels.”

    The essence of social media is conversation. Rather than a one-way stream of information, where companies make announcements to the press and customers, social media enables a great deal of interaction, where companies are in constant dialogue with the public. “We’ve seen a shift from doing things the old way to now having conversations with our customers,” says Jeanette Gibson, director of new media for Cisco Systems (CSCO).”

    The money quote for the new paradigm of information flows … “All these other people showed up in the -middle. They may not be press and they may not be customers, but suddenly their collective voice is bigger than the traditional channels.”

    The train has left the station. Let’s get on board with social media. It should be an excellent ride.

    Here is a great series of YouTubes from CommonCraft which gives a quick primer on the various social media platforms and tools…

    Sunday, January 25, 2009

    Saving And Borrowing Explained

    An excellent explanatory post from Shopyield:

    Saving and borrowing in plain English